Jessica Habashi – MTV
After the “Hamas” movement announced its approval of the proposal of US President Donald Trump To stop the war in Gaza, the sorting region has set out temporarily, and attention was directed again towards Lebanon, which is living in anticipation of the security and military development of the coming days, especially with the entry of the American diplomatic path a decisive stage in the region. Does the breakthrough in Gaza mean a security explosion in Lebanon?
Political analyst Michel Al -Shamai affirms that “the path in which the region entered after the surrender of the“ Hamas ”movement indicates that matters will gradually escalate towards resolving the Lebanese file, and from this starting point, Lebanon cannot remain outside this train,” noting, in an interview with the MTV website, that “the issue today is in the hands of the Lebanese state, and we have witnessed a model after the events of the rock of the Raouche proved that the government is unable to implement the law, The last cabinet session is to restore international confidence in the government, so the “messages” association mean that the prestige of the state has been restored, even partially, which will delay the Israeli war, and otherwise it gives Israel a kind of liberation to launch a new aggressive action on Lebanon.
Observers believe that the acceptance of Hamas with the American proposal may open a broader regional calm window that will not be completed without resolving the “Lebanese Front”, and that the new scene in Gaza has become a specific factor in drawing the features of the next stage in Lebanon. Is the Israeli war on Lebanon close? Al -Shamai answers: “The possibility of war in Lebanon has existed since the date of October 8 when the decision to support a invasion was declared, and the possibilities of this scenario are escalating. The international community will not wait long for the stage of dealing with the file of Hezbollah’s weapon“ in a soft way ”in a Lebanese way, but rather it calls for Lebanon to implement faster and effective to withdraw weapons. Until the hour, he adheres to all his old options, as if there was no development, which we finally felt in the speech of the Secretary -General of Hezbollah, Sheikh Naim Qasim.
In a related context, Al -Shamai considers that “the army’s plan is a soft and smooth plan through which President Joseph Aoun tries not to insert the military establishment in an internal conflict with any Lebanese team, but this issue is neither like neither the American nor the Israel And that the army is ready to play the central role in the process of restoring Lebanese sovereignty, so today what is required to restore the prestige of the state.
“Hezbollah” linked Lebanon’s fate to the invasion of the country in the heart of a regional storm that will not end before it guarantees the drawing of a new painting for the Middle East that will carry a major change for Lebanon, which remains the most fragile link in the regional field, and perhaps the latter.
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