Kuwaiti news
Questions are rising about the nature of the field, security and military scenario that Lebanon may face in light of the two Israeli lines, yellow and gray. What will happen if the Israeli military plan turns into reality, with the Israeli army moving from the yellow line to the gray line, especially since this scenario has become the subject of discussion within the Israeli “kitchen”?
An informed source explained to Al-Anbaa Electronic News that the military data circulating, so far, indicate a redeployment and adjustment in the depth of the Israeli deployment, and not to Israel abandoning its military presence inside Lebanese territory, stressing that “according to Israeli leaks, consideration is being given to transferring the army from the current yellow line to a new security belt with a depth of approximately two to four kilometers, with the establishment of about 20 fixed military sites and the maintenance of monitoring and rapid intervention capabilities.”
The source pointed out that “the plan, according to reports, still requires the approval of the Israeli political leadership.”
From a military reading, the equation is clear, and according to the source, it is “reducing depth, reducing the number of forces, installing ruling positions, and relying more on air and intelligence reconnaissance and firepower, that is, moving from a wide and expensive deployment to a smaller, more fortified and effective security belt.”
On the other hand, the most important issue for the source is that “this change, if it occurs, will not begin before the completion of the operations that Israel considers necessary to destroy the military infrastructure in the areas from which it will withdraw, and its timing is linked to the upcoming political negotiations, so the gray line may be an operational plan and a negotiating card at the same time.”
The source concluded: “We are not talking about an Israeli withdrawal in the traditional sense, but rather about an attempt to redraw the deployment to the south, which consists of less depth, more stable positions, and continuous monitoring and firepower,” warning and wondering at the same time, “If the plan turns into reality, the real challenge will be: Will the gray line lead to consolidating the borders or to establishing a new Israeli security belt inside Lebanon?”
