Qualifying for the round of 32 or the first knockout round becomes almost guaranteed (with a rate ranging between approximately 95% and 100% according to studies) upon obtaining 4 points, as the team that achieves a win, a draw, and a loss will either finish in second place in its group or among the best third-place finishers.
However, in the event of obtaining three points, from one win and two losses or from three draws, the chances are lower, but still good (about 67%), as every team that collects 3 points will enter the competition among the third-place finishers.
On the other hand, qualifying with only two points is considered a miracle (5%) and is possible provided that 6 of the 12 groups saw the leading team qualify with 9 points and with the full mark (3 wins).
