October 13, 2026
Iran is racing against time to restore its missile capabilities, which were severely damaged as a result of the recent war with Israel and the United States, while the Israeli security establishment is closely following Tehran’s attempts to revive the regional “ring of fire” by reactivating its arms in Lebanon and Syria.
A report prepared by journalist Shai Levy on the Israeli “Mako” website revealed that the American-Israeli strikes caused severe damage to Iran’s security and missile infrastructure, but recent intelligence assessments confirm that Tehran maintains its strategic capabilities, as a large portion of the missile stock and launch platforms survived, in conjunction with the acceleration of the pace of local production.
While Israeli estimates on the eve of the war indicated that Tehran possessed about 2,500 ballistic missiles, updated data today indicate that there are about 1,800 to 2,000 ballistic missiles with a range reaching Israel. An Israeli intelligence official confirmed that the production capacity was not completely destroyed, noting that the Iranians worked vigorously to reduce the extent of the damage to the Revolutionary Guard missile system and rehabilitate tens of percentages of the launch pads.
In parallel with the missile file, the Israeli army warns of Iranian efforts to re-establish the military presence in the Syrian arena, by relying on low-cost and more widespread capabilities that include suicide drones, missiles, and secret local cells. According to the report, the Syrian regime, headed by Ahmed al-Sharaa, opposes the Iranian incursion attempts, which prompted the Revolutionary Guards to avoid establishing an open system, and to focus instead on financing local elements and arming them with huge weapons and weapons.
Israeli monitoring is not limited to inside Iran and Syria, but extends to monitoring attempts to rebuild Tehran’s advanced arms in Lebanon. The main challenge facing Tel Aviv remains the amount of time Tehran needs to transform what has survived from its arsenal into an integrated operational system, and its ability to reconnect the regional support fronts to pressure Israel from several simultaneous fronts.
On the field and political levels, Israeli officials’ estimates varied regarding the timing of any future military action. A senior security official did not rule out carrying out a military operation before the elections in Israel and the United States, while other estimates indicate that such a strike is excluded at the present time, with the ultimate emphasis that the final decision regarding any new strike remains in the hands of the United States and not Israel.
