Qasim initiative .. The timing of reconciliation with Saudi Arabia is more important than reconciliation itself

The political bomb launched by the Secretary -General of Hezbollah Sheikh Naim Qassem by inviting him to open a new page with Saudi Arabia, which can only be read as a articulated station that will leave its mark on the entire Lebanese and regional scene, and perhaps re -draw balance lines in the next stage.
This initiative did not come from a vacuum, but rather came after a series of local and regional developments, which made its timing and connotations the focus of the attention of observers and political actors alike. The first thing that draws in this proposal is that it came immediately after the remarkable visit to the Supreme Council of National Security Ali Larijani to Saudi Arabia, and the references that this step carries about the seriousness of the Iranian -Saudi dialogue, which has always been considered the stability of the region. But what seemed clear that this dialogue, as important, needed an additional boost that gives it a greater credibility on the Arab scene, so the entry of Hizbullah through Sheikh Naim Qasim to give a strong political signal that openness to Riyadh is not just a media maneuver but a serious option. Secondly, the initiative cannot be separated from the sensitive regional moment, where the Saudi and Arab concerns are increasing from the escalation of Israeli brutality after the strike that was directed To Qatar, and the following military and political practices that reveal an escalating aggressive tendency.
At this moment, it seemed that the party wanted to put itself as a rational player who seeks to spare the area more explosion, and provides a good intention that might be read as an alternative dialogue bridge on the language of confrontation alone. Third, it is necessary to stop at the internal context of the initiative. Hezbollah has proven during the last days, with its own strength, that it is able to disrupt any internal decision targeting its weapon or trying to impose new facts on it. This is what made his initiative to dialogue with Saudi Arabia be issued from a strength site, or at least is not a result of weakness or direct pressure. Rather, this proposal falls within the party’s vision of regional positioning that protects its gains and gives it a broader space for the maneuver in the face of its opponents. Accordingly, the move of Sheikh Naim Qassem appears to be the opening of the door to a new political stage that may lead to unprecedented balances in the region. It combines the realism of reading the regional scene, the accounts of internal power, and the need of Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries to calm options in front of an unaccounted Israeli impulse. Therefore, this initiative may turn into a focal point in drawing the relationship between Riyadh and Hezbollah, and between Tehran and the Arab capitals, which means that its effect will not be limited to Lebanon alone, but will extend to rule the entire next stage.