Trump’s surprise for the Middle East, what is it?

a surprise Trump For the Middle East

Political and diplomatic circles in the Middle East are witnessing wide anticipation of what the former US president and current presidential candidate Donald Trump described as “very important declaration”,

Which is expected to be launched before the start of his tour in the area, which includes visits to Qatar And the United Arab Emirates and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia،

Without now, it includes a station in Israel.

A mysterious and many speculation of Trump’s surprise to the Middle East

In brief statements, Trump hinted that the would be “very positive”,

Without providing any details of his resentment, he was satisfied with indicating that it may be issued on Thursday, Friday or Monday.

This ambiguity feeds a series of speculation in political and media circles about the content of the upcoming advertising.

Analysis was varied between those who suggested that the matter be related to the joining of new Arab countries to the “Abrahamic Peace” agreements.

I think Trump is planning to launch a direct economic aid package to the Gaza Strip,

Or he reached an understanding with Iran regarding its regional influence.

There are those who indicated the possibility that the US administration will formally adopt the nomination of the “Arab Gulf” instead of “Persian” in official policies.

Skaf: Trump devotes the end of Iran’s project in the region

In this context, the Lebanese MP said Ghassan Skaf In an interview with “Al -central” that what Trump is doing now carries a strategic dimension that goes beyond the transient , considering that Trump comes to the region with a “victory for a victory”,

This is after a series of field and political developments that led to the decline of Iran’s influence and its arms in the region.

Skaf explains:

“We are facing a scene that is devoted to the end of the Iranian project in the Middle East. From Hamas in Gaza, to Hezbollah in Lebanon, the fall of the regime in Syria, then the popular crowd in Iraq, and finally the surrender of the Houthis in Yemen … all these indicators confirm that the Iranian hand has become weaker than ever.”

America does not seek to eliminate Iran, but to limit it

According to Skaf, Washington, whether during the era of Trump or elsewhere, was not aimed at completely eliminating Iran, but rather to limit its regional influence and disarm its military arms.

“The United States does not want Hezbollah completely outside the equation,

Rather, it wants it as a political entity without a weapon, and the same applies to the popular crowd and the Houthis … The required is to weaken the military force that threatens the security of the region, not removing these entities from the scene, ”Skaf says.

A possible normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel? Trump’s surprise for the Middle East

One of the most prominent things that the Trump tour may bear to the region, according to Skaf, is to start serious consultations towards Normalization of relations between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Israel.

In his opinion, this visit is like The introductory stage For an expected series of talks that may be arduous, but it carries signs of a new strategic shift in the region.

He adds:

“There is a new political climate that may be built on to achieve unprecedented Arab -Israeli understandings, and Trump knows how to invest this circumstance and transform it into a huge diplomatic achievement if he was re -elected as president in 2025.”

Hezbollah file and withdrawal of weapons: a complex mission

On what is said about American pressure to hand over Hezbollah’s weapon,

Especially after the last visit to the American pollution Morgan Ortigos،

Which advised the Lebanese to expedite the implementation of the American requirements “before Trump’s patience is running out,”

Skaf considered that this file is thorny and will not be easily decided.

He explained:

“I do not think that the delivery of the weapon will take place so quickly that the Americans want. There are many complications, and the discussions will require guarantees and conditions. The question here is: Is this weapon back to Iran or Hezbollah?”

If the weapon is Iranian, Skaf believes that the file should be included in the American -Iranian negotiations, especially in The fourth round of talks to be held next Saturday.

But if the weapon is in the hands of Hezbollah alone, the issue becomes Lebanese and is supposed to be managed by the Lebanese themselves, under official sponsorship and within internal negotiations.

Trump’s surprise to the Middle East … Where do things go?

In light of these indicators, Trump’s expected surprise remains a monitor.

Will it be an announcement of the “end of the Iranian project” really?

Or a new step towards Saudi -Israeli normalization? Or is it just a new electoral offer in which Trump invests separate victories to draft a strong political speech before the elections?

The answer remains suspended until Trump releases his surprise, but what is certain is that the Middle East stands at the gates of a new stage,

Its features will be drawn through alliances that crystallize, and the ceilings to be dropped.

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