Erdogan’s nightmare approached !!
Erdogan’s nightmare approached !!
In an unprecedented strategic shift, Israeli reports and analyzes indicate that Syria is approaching a gateway A possible peace agreement with IsraelWhat might be formed The greatest threat to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Since the beginning of the Syrian crisis. Ankara is pursuing a lot of anxiety increasing indicators A political rapprochement between “New Syria” and IsraelIn a step, if you get, the rules of the game in the region will change dramatically.
Abraham agreements with a Syrian flavor?
According to a report published by a newspaper Israeli “Maariv”The United States is preparing to expand Abraham Conventions To include the new system in Damascus led by Abu Muhammad al -Jolani. This scenario threatens to undermine the Turkish influence rooted in the north of Syria, and is pushing towards the removal of Ankara from the Syrian political equation, which has always been a strategic sphere of influence.
The report indicated, quoting from Researcher at the Diane Center, d. Eitan Cohen neighborhoodThe Golani, by approaching Tel Aviv, not only aims to cooperate with Israel, but also seeks to Limiting the Turkish influence Inside Damascus, without cutting the bridges completely with Ankara.
Türkiye and Syria: From the hidden ally to the potential opponent
Since the beginning of the Syrian war, Türkiye has been a pivotal player, not only because of its geographical proximity, but because of Its deep military and intelligence role In northern Syria. The “Maariv” report indicated that Turkish intelligence It was the first foreign security apparatus to make an official and public visit to Damascus after the Assad regime declined.
In addition, Ankara actually runs Infrastructure, services, airports and vital facilities In northern Syria, it is a major decision -making partner within what is known as “new Syria”. A large part of Political and security leaders In this nascent entity, he received his education in Türkiye or holds its nationality, which dedicates the depth of political and institutional tangles between the two parties.
But today, it seems that this Turkish influence is about to face The biggest challenge since the start of the crisisIn light of an American and Gulf desire to open a new page with Damascus that takes it out of the Jalah alliance circle: Türkiye – Qatar – agitationAnd pushing it towards The axis of normalization with Israel.
From the ghost of Tehran to the dream of Islamic leadership
What doubles the threat to Erdogan is that this transformation does not exclude it from the Syrian file, but rather strikes His broader vision of the region. According to Dr. Yenwarjak, then Türkiye was seeing itself the unpopular winner In the last round of the regional war, which ended in weakening Iranian influence.
The Israeli researcher said: “The Turks did not explicitly announce their joy, but they actually enjoyed the results of the last war that, in my opinion, humiliated Tehran,” adding that Ankara is classifying itself as being The most prominent Islamic power In the Middle East.
In this context, any Syrian – Israeli -Gulf rapprochement Türkiye may lose this distinction and undermine its endeavor to be the basic political incubator of both Hamas, the Syrian opposition and Qatar.
Does Syria turn into the Saddah square between Ankara and Tel Aviv?
The next geopolitical battle, as expected by Dr. Yannujak, you may not be in Gaza, Beirut or Tehran, but in Damascus. Syria today, with its complex borders, its open geography, and its fragmented political structure, appears to be the ideal area of liquidation of accounts between Erdogan and Israel.
The researcher says: “The question is: Where can the next engagement arena be?
He adds that Keep Syria within the Turkish -Qatari -Islamic axisAnd Israel is isolated from its Arab and Muslim neighbors, it is an essential pillar in Turkish regional strategyTherefore, any breach in this wall will be a strategic blow to Ankara.
Israeli -Syrian relations: beyond the scenes
Although talking about Syrian -Israeli rapprochement It may seem surprising to some, but that The practical speech of the Golani In recent years, a desire to open up to the international community appears, and to present himself as a “realistic” player that can be relied upon in managing the transitional phase in Syria.
On the other hand, Israel seeks to Receive the northern frontAnd breaking the axis of the resistance extending from Tehran to Beirut, via Damascus. Any agreement with Syria is a major step in this path, especially if it leads to reducing Iranian and Turkish influence at the same time.
According to Maariv, Washington and the Gulf support this path, because it contributes to creating A new balance in the regionAnd weaken the influence of the radical Islamic actors who Ankara accused of embracing them.
Upgrateous tests: Is Al -Golani venture?
The biggest challenge in this scene is to Al -Golani’s ability On the maneuver between Syria’s emerging desire for independence, and the deep ties with Türkiye, which still controls large parts of the northern Syria, and has a major impact on local political and administrative elites.
The report asks: Can Al -Golani break the dependency of Ankara without losing security and control? Can he persuade Israel and the Arabs of his credibility, while his forces still depend on logistically on Türkiye?
The answer to these questions will be determined by the future The new Middle EastAnd re -drawing the map of alliances and conflicts in the region for decades to come.
Erdogan’s nightmare approached !! A week that may change the face of the area
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan It faces an existential challenge in Syria, as the potential rapprochement between Damascus and Tel Aviv, under the cloak of Abraham’s agreements, threatens to end years of Turkish political and military investment in the Syrian file.
And if this path succeeds, the region may enter a new stage of Geopolitical positioningTürkiye is in a defensive position, and Israel is a key player in the heart of the Arab world.
The most important question remains: Are we in front of a real Turkish nightmare that will be achieved in the coming days? Or does Ankara still have hidden papers that will fail this path?
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