The secret of the last hours before “peace” between Iran and Israel

MTV website

Many celebrate the end of the war, but a few realize the reason for its end and the content of the deal, and what hastened in Donald’s declaration Trump To reach an Iranian -Israeli agreement under US auspices, hours after targeting an American base in QatarWhat is the reason for choosing this particular rule?
Iran was realizing that its response was required to restore a symbolic balance with the United States, provided that Trump would not provoke it with a resounding escalation. The man deals with war in the language of cost and return, and Tehran sought a blow to a political and media, but it is studied to avoid the explosion of confrontation.
Within this framework, the Iranian option was signed on the base of “many” in Qatar, which is the US regional leadership center, but it is free of sensitive or inhabited goals, making it a “safe” target for a calculated blow. The distance from the civil gatherings, the expansion of the area, and the ability of the American forces to protect its facilities, all of which made the Iranian strike closer to a message than to traditional military action.
The strike itself was not surprising. The indirect coordination has preceded the implementation, through intelligence and security channels, and perhaps messages conveyed by third parties. This explains the “positive” American reaction, as Trump thanked Tehran for what appeared to be an implicit understanding on the roof of the response. The message arrived: Iran responded to conservation of face, and America absorbed the blow without losses, and the two are in the interest of not breaking the red lines, and “everyone earned” in the end, even if they did not draw the size of the losses that Iran was raised.
However, what followed the strike is more important than the strike itself. It was used as a bridge towards a ceasefire, not only between Washington and Tehran, but also between Iran and Israel. The moment the image of the symbolic response was completed, Trump announced the end of the war, saying that “the time of peace has come,” indicating that the conflict has reached its climax and its political rhythm can now be controlled.
There are two views here, the first sees the truce is fragile. The factors that blew up the escalation are still in place. Iran has not announced its retreat from its nuclear program, and Israel has not provided a political alternative to its vision in dealing with this challenge. Accordingly, the ceasefire appears to be a “tactical truce”, more than a final settlement.
On the other hand, there is a view that stresses that we have witnessed the last wars, and we are in front of a new Iran that maintained its regime, but it will change its external role, as it will gradually abandon its arms and stop its financial and military support for organizations and parties, and will freeze its nuclear program.
The biggest winner in what happened is Donald Trump. Its use of the phrase “peace” when he talked about an agreement between Iran and Israel that expresses his ambition to obtain the Nobel Peace Prize.

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