There is a blatant contradiction between what is announced and what is implicit in relation to the electoral entitlement. What is said in the media is a promotional talk about the necessity of holding these elections on a constitutional time contradicts what is said in narrow political salons and in the closed rooms and meetings. This contradiction hides in its backgrounds a clear desire for the majority of political forces to postpone them and work with possible means to find a certain “graduation” to extend the mandate of the current council, with the circumstances and contradictory circumstances in the content and in form.

And if any analytical data analyst wants to refute this desire for the majority of the parliamentary blocs, from which the current parliament is formed, if they do not say all these blocs combined for fear of making an error of appreciation and generalization, to extract a lot of analytical conclusions that are not of course based on sensory information. Among these conclusions and the most close to reality is what is being circulated through the internal partisan sites of a number of political parties and currents about the lack of complete preparation for this adventure amid the abnormal circumstances that Lebanon is going through, which does not allow some of these parties to have in the near future what they had previously had somewhat loose sizes, even if these sizes are not expressive of the reality of the popular situation of these parties and currents.
What confirms the truth of this current reality is the deliberate slowdown in not moving forward in the ease of the integrity of these elections on a constitutional date. And if the circular, which was issued by the Minister of Interior and Foreign Affairs in the registration of the Lebanese expatriates from within a period of about a month and a half, suggests the opposite of the atmosphere promoted by some parties politically and popularly, which operate according to dual goals standards in the way of “a man in the port and a man in agriculture”, some say that this generalization is only to preserve face water, while the truth is that no one of the expatriates shows enthusiasm to participate In these elections unless Article 112 is modified.
On the other hand, some parties or some of the independents work on the basis that the elections take place today before tomorrow, and they deviate from their entirety to enhance their popular presence through extensive meetings with a large number of optional bodies and heads and members of selected municipalities according to local studies of geographical reality in various Lebanese regions, even those areas, which are not historical in support of the approach of these parties and their political line.
According to some data, those demanding the involvement of expatriates in the voting process for a hundred and twenty -eight deputies began to act with the electoral expatriate reality on the basis that what was written in the ink of President Nabih Berri was written, and that there is no return to back unless these people demanded the expatriate electoral right to collect 65 votes committed to voting in favor of amending Article 112.
Those familiar with the ongoing communications in full swing to secure this result from a penalty vote exclude access to the threshold of the half plus, due to the lack of willingness of a number of neutral deputies to enter with the “Shiite duo”, and with President Berri in specifically in records that will not be poured into their electoral advantage, especially since some of them have no popularity in the alienation milie What is in the jurisdiction of the 2025 spring.
In the prevailing belief that the Lebanese officials are official and non -official, and those who are negligent almost everything, they will not be able alone to get out of the tunnel of Article 112, and other necessary amendments, especially since the prime minister still distances himself and the government from interfering to resolve the “battle”, Ramy of the ball in the stadium of the House of Representatives known for its general orientation, but at the same time it is forbidden for him to have the final word.
The internal “default” is not new. This is what happened for two and three months of disruption of the presidential entitlement. And had it not been for external interventions, Lebanon would still live under the rule of the deadly vacuum. The “adults” intervention may have the word separation in the parliamentary entitlement, especially since Syria has been able to contest a democratic battle, which is coming from major crises, while Lebanon may be registered that it could not be able to hold the elections on its constitutional date and without delaying one day except in one case, which is if Israel continues to challenge the international will and decided to expand its operations in the south to the borders of the Litani River without the borders of the River The people of that vast geographical region managed to perform their electoral duty completely freely.
This scenario is not excluded in the opinion of some diplomatic circles, which saw in the first monthly report of the army leadership, which included clear references to the slow implementation of the “exclusive” plan in its entirety, due to the Israeli obstacles represented by its daily breaches of the ceasefire decision.

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