Will Lebanon come at the Trump table – Netanyahu?

Those who know how US President Donald Trump behaves, and on what basis builds his decisions that have a direct relationship with the developments that happen in the world, especially in the hot areas of the hot, among them, of course, the Middle East and the massacres committed in Gaza, they expect not to be absent from the meeting of the White House between Trump and the Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, after the scene of the withdrawal of a large number of countries participating in the general assembly. The United Nations, when the latter entered the hall to give his speech. There is no doubt that this expressive step will give the American president more arguments, which enable him to exert the maximum pressure on those who have not been brown much for what Washington sees in order to achieve peace in the region, although some consider that the American goals are justified by the means, a means that all those who revolve in the Iranian astronomy.
This meeting comes in a precise political and security moment imposed by the ongoing war on Gaza and its regional and international repercussions. It is expected that it will constitute an important station in the course of the crisis, as it is likely that the American -Israeli bilateral dimension is more likely to affect the future of the Palestinian -Israeli conflict, while the attention of the Lebanese is heading to Washington, who are hoping that the results of this meeting will have a direct or indirect impact on their internal conditions. It is expected that the meeting will address a number of hot files, most notably: Trump’s peace plan in the region, The West Bank file and annexation, the reconstruction of Gaza and the authorities that will supervise it, amid the fear of Israel that the reconstruction will be used to reinforce the capabilities of the “Ham” movement, the post -war administration between the Palestinian Authority options and international supervision or the survival of direct Israeli influence, and the American military support for Israel and the conditions and controls that may be accompanied. And despite the many complications of this file, there is a common space for a number of understandings between The two parties, the most prominent of which are: an agreement on a temporary ceasefire that opens the door for subsequent negotiations, a commitment to launch a batch of hostages as a good -intention, and the approval of international or Arab supervision of the reconstruction, and the announcement of a road map for subsequent political talks, and in general. As for Trump and an internal pressure source of Netanyahu, and the Gaza administration after the war, between the option of direct Israeli administration or its delivery to an international -Palestinian body, and the arrangement of the schedule for implementation and guarantees of commitment, which are issues often detonate understandings, and the role of the Palestinian Authority that raises Israeli reservations in exchange for American and Arab pressure to involve them. On calm, hostage and reconstruction, and a partial agreement with the remaining points of disagreement remaining stuck, or in the worst cases, issuing a loose statement confirming the continued consultation without real penetration. The impact of Washington’s meeting on the Lebanese interior
In parallel to the main headlines of these talks, some political circles in Lebanon believe that any possible escalation in Gaza or the West Bank may immediately be reflected on the southern Lebanese border. The Hezbollah, who closely monitors developments, may raise the level of its threats or make symbolic moves on the border, while the army remains in a state of maximum alert to ensure the stability of the situation and prevent any direct confrontations. And it is expected, according to these circles, that this meeting will reopen the debate on the Lebanese position towards the Israeli -Israeli conflict, so that the Lebanese parties may be used, whether sovereign or that of those affiliated with the axis Al -Maqaqa, the results of the meeting to confirm its political positions, which may lead to tensions within the government or disputes over Lebanon’s official policy towards Israel. These circles do not rule out that any Israeli -Israeli agreement imposes on Lebanon to coordinate with international or Arab initiatives, especially with regard to the reconstruction of Gaza or the support of calm. And puts Lebanon
In front of a diplomatic challenge, especially if the agreements include international restrictions or supervision that may require an official Lebanese position. Here it must be noted that the escalation of military escalation in Gaza may lead to high fuel and energy prices in Lebanon, with direct repercussions on the actual economy. But in return, the calm or temporary agreement may open the door for new international and Arab aid, and reduces some The pressures on the Lebanese economy. The potential scenarios and their impact on Lebanon may lead to a temporary agreement or a limited calm that may allow the army to control borders, reduce internal tension, and allow a diplomatic window for international and Arab coordination. In the event of failure, this would allow – “Hizbullah” to raise the level of its threats, which may put Lebanon under a greater diplomatic pressure on each, and pending what this meeting can result in, and although Lebanon is not a direct party in these talks, the results of this meeting will be reflected on the internal Lebanese policy, Lebanon’s external relations, and the economy of the flabby, provided that the best scenarios for Lebanon remain in a temporary calm in Gaza, that would provide stability on the borders and reduce pressure on the government and the economy, while any partial agreement or failure of negotiations may increase the risks and challenges at the Lebanese level.