Campaign in Europe on the impact of Russian maneuvers .. Will the conflict expand?

For his part, Lithuanian Deputy Minister of Defense Thomas Godlioclas explained that “these exercises near the NATO and the European Union should be dealt with,” stressing the necessity of all border countries and NATO forces with the utmost caution and the need for Lithuania and its allies to be prepared as this will be considered a message about the union and that they follow developments closely, and are ready to respond if necessary. ” “Zabad”, which means “the West” in Russian, is the first maneuver of its kind since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, and it is a basic station to assess the structure of the Russian forces after the war, the extent of its combat readiness, and the messages that Moscow seeks to deliver to the West. On the opposite side and in response to the maneuvers of “Zabad 2025”, NATO countries (NATO) is preparing for Russia to conduct special military exercises The most prominent of which is the “Tarasis 25” maneuver, which brings together 10 countries from northern Europe, NATO, while Lithuania is preparing to implement its national defense exercise under the name “Thunder Stop”. As for Poland, it is preparing to launch the maneuvers of the “Iron Defender 25” with the participation of 30,000 soldiers this week. Zabad 2025 … in an appropriate way on its part. ”The Russian war expands
In light of the increasing fears within NATO that Russia will expand its current war to include an attack on a member state (especially in the Baltic region), the alliance closely continues what the “Zabad maneuvers” will reveal about a possible future offensive intent In more than a million huge injuries and losses with equipment, but it also activated the Russian war economy. ”A statement of NATO confirmed that the alliance“ is closely monitoring the Russian military activity ”and does not see any imminent military threat against any member state in the alliance, however, forces in Europe remain in a state of vigilance and monitor “Orchink” missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads in addition to the scheduled maneuvers, Russia conducts 3 separate maneuvers with the state security treaties organization (which includes Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan). The German Council for External Relations explained that “these additional exercises may be used to hide the true size of the maneuvers .. It is expected to reflect these scenarios of these scenarios The exercises are the nature of the war that Russia is preparing against the West, “as it covers large areas, including the two military regions of Moscow, Leningrad, the isolated Calingrad County, the Northern Arctic region, the sea of ​​the Baltic, the parnists, and the general lands in Belarus. The risk and the possibility of escalation
The danger of Russian maneuvers is that they are conducted close to the border with NATO, specifically near the Belarusian village “Goga” and the Dubrovolsk region in Kalinigrad only 10 kilometers from Poland and Lithuania) and forces will be deployed on the sides of the Swalke Corridor, a narrow corridor with a length of 70 km separating Baylarros and Calingrad, and is considered one of the most vulnerable points in the defense European Military Intelligence expects that the number of participants in the Russian “Zabad” maneuvers “will reach about 30,000 soldiers, which is much fewer than the maneuvers in 2021, in which about 200,000 soldiers participated. However, Moscow can take advantage of the maneuvers to test NATO reactions to limited provocations such as air breakthroughs, electronic jamming attacks and sabotage against civil infrastructure, a step aimed at measuring the speed of response The allies in NATO, and know if they will hold Russia directly. Professor Thomas Yanillion said: “It is completely possible to explain certain concurrent signals as an actual attack on NATO countries. We must understand a simple fact: during military exercises, when weapons are ready, it is often difficult to distinguish between simulation and real military action. ”