The Prak Plan, Israel, … Return to internal tensions

It seems that the visit of the American delegate Tom Barak to Beirut was not formal and transient, but rather carried a mixture of contradictory messages between temptation and pressure. The man came with him with what is described as an Israeli cold and a clearly defined American plan for the post -delivery stage, a stage that is being talked about in the American circles, as its features began to gradually appear to the public.
In terms of form, it can be said that the Israeli response seemed more positive compared to what was previously proposed. It was not the usual intransigence that has long prevented any progress. But this positivity remains relative, as the fundamental condition for Israel remains: No real negotiations, and no final settlements, before Lebanon made the decisive decision to withdraw weapons from the hand of “Hizbullah”. This condition, which summarizes all the Israeli position, puts sticks again in the settlement wheel, and restores the discussion to the point of zero. On the other hand, the American side seemed more clear. Washington does not hide that its plan is based on installing a Lebanese internal path that gradually leads to reducing the influence of the weapon, and then completely ending it. It is noteworthy that the Americans were not satisfied with talking about a distant horizon. That the temptations presented to Lebanon are not simple: promises of economic aid, an economic zone, reconstruction, and perhaps the reintegration of Lebanon into regional projects that benefit it with tangible benefits. However, all these big temptations suggest that the risks are much greater. The higher the ceiling of offers, the more this indicates that the next stage is fraught with tensions and challenges. What makes the image more complicated is that the Lebanese interior itself does not seem prepared to take this moment. The political division is still deep, and the confidence between the main powers is almost non -existent. And if the Americans are counting on the state to continue with its compressive path, then this may open the door again to internal vibrations and perhaps tensions in the street, especially since the weapon for the party and its environment is not a technical file but rather an existential issue that cannot be waived easily. Thus, the equation is due to the most difficult square: major temptations presented to Lebanon, but they are linked to conditions that may be exploded if it is imposed by force. An Israeli responded with something of softness, but it puts the main obstacle to any penetration. An American plan brings back responsibility to the Lebanese, and makes them a difficult test between walking on a risk -fraught path or staying in the whirlpool of stagnation.